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Kako izračunati Monte Carlo Retirement

Kaj je Monte Carlo Retirement?

Monte Carlo retirement planner simulates thousands of market scenarios to estimate success probability of retirement plan.

Navodila po korakih

  1. 1Input retirement needs, portfolio size, asset allocation, inflation
  2. 2Simulate 1000+ random market scenarios
  3. 3Calculate percentage where funds last

Worked Examples

Vnos
Portfolio $1M, 4% withdrawal, 60/40 allocation
Rezultat
90% success rate (95% success with 3% withdrawal)
Industry standard approach

Common Mistakes to Avoid

  • Using average returns (ignores sequence risk)
  • Neglecting inflation adjustments

Frequently Asked Questions

What success rate is adequate?

Academic consensus: 90-95% for 30-year retirement.

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